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Asymmetric Partisan Voter Turnout Games
1Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755 USA.
Dynamic Games and Applications
|November 11, 2021
Summary
This study introduces a new voting model where voters weigh both instrumental and expressive benefits. Misperceptions about election fairness can explain surprisingly high voter turnout.
Area of Science:
- Political Science
- Behavioral Economics
- Game Theory
Background:
- Traditional models struggle to explain observed voter turnout patterns.
- Anthony Downs first proposed the irrationality of voting in 1957.
- Existing models often overlook the expressive benefits of voting.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel model of voter decision-making.
- To incorporate both instrumental and expressive benefits of voting.
- To analyze rationalizable evolutionarily stable strategies under varying conditions.
Main Methods:
- Developed a model where partisans consider instrumental and expressive voting benefits.
- Incorporated learning processes within the electorate.
- Analyzed equilibria by varying electorate size, partisan split, and underdog considerations.
Main Results:
- The model predicts a "size effect": turnout decreases as electorate size increases.
- Different equilibria emerge based on electorate characteristics.
- Misperceptions about the partisan split can lead to high turnout.
Conclusions:
- The proposed model offers a more nuanced explanation for voter turnout.
- Comparative statics align with observed voter behavior.
- Addressing model assumptions, particularly misperceptions, reconciles theoretical predictions with empirical data.
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