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Updated: Oct 13, 2025
Author Spotlight: Developing Innovative Therapeutic Strategies for Hemorrhagic Shock Research
Published on: March 22, 2024
Shock index predicts up to 90-day mortality risk after intracerebral haemorrhage
Tiberiu A Pana1, Terence J Quinn2, Jesus A Perdomo-Lampignano1
1Ageing Clinical and Experimental Research (ACER) Team, Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, Scotland, United Kingdom; Aberdeen Diabetes and Cardiovascular Centre, School of Medicine, Medical Sciences & Nutrition, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, Scotland, United Kingdom.
Background:
Shock index (SI - heart rate/systolic blood pressure) has been studied as a measure of haemodynamic status. We aimed to determine whether SI measures within 72 h of admission were associated with adverse outcomes in intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH).
Methods:
Patients were drawn from the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive-Intracerebral Haemorrhage (VISTA-ICH). Multivariable Cox regressions modelled the relationship between SI (on admission, 24, 48, 72 h) and mortality (at 3-, 7-, and 90-days), 90-day incident pneumonia and cardiovascular events (MACE). Ordinal logistic regressions modelled the relationship between SI and 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS).
Results:
979 patients were included. Baseline SI was not associated with mortality. 24 h SI > 0.7 was associated with 7-day mortality (hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) = 3.14 (1.37-7.19)). 48 h and 72 h SI > 0.7 were associated with 7-day (4.23 (2.07-8.66) and 3.24 (1.41-7.42) respectively) and 90-day mortality (2.97 (1.82-4.85) and 2.05 (1.26-3.61) respectively). SI < 0.5 at baseline, 48 h and 72 h was associated with decreased pneumonia risk. 24 h and 48 h SI > 0.7was associated with increased MACE risk. 48 h and 72 h SI > 0.7 was associated with increased odds of higher 90-day mRS.
Conclusion:
Higher-than-normal SI subsequent to initial encounter was associated with higher post-ICH mortality at 3, 7, and 90 days. Lower-than-normal SI was associated with a decreased risk of incident pneumonia.
