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Association between immunologic markers and cirrhosis in individuals with chronic hepatitis B
Ilona Argirion1,2, Ruth M Pfeiffer3, Tram Kim Lam4
1Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA. ilona.argirion@nih.gov.
Insights
Chronic inflammation in Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection drives liver disease. Specific immune markers accurately predict cirrhosis development in HBV patients, highlighting their crucial role in pathogenesis.
Area of Science:
- Immunology
- Hepatology
- Oncology
Background:
- Chronic Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection is a major cause of liver diseases, including cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).
- Host immune responses and chronic inflammation are key drivers in the progression of HBV-related liver disease.
- Identifying predictive markers for liver disease progression is crucial for early intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between plasma immune markers and the development of cirrhosis and HCC in chronically HBV-infected individuals.
- To assess the predictive capability of these markers for liver disease progression.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study involving 175 HCC, 117 cirrhotic, and 165 non-cirrhotic control participants.
- Analysis of 102 plasma markers using multivariable polytomous logistic regression and canonical discriminant analysis (CDA).
- Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and leave-one-out cross-validation were used to evaluate predictive accuracy.
Main Results:
- Six markers (HGF, SLAMF1, CSF1, uPA, IL-8, OPG) were significantly associated with cirrhosis development compared to controls, with a combined prediction accuracy of 69%.
- A nine-marker model identified through CDA demonstrated a higher accuracy of 79% in predicting cirrhosis.
- No significant differences in marker levels were found between HCC and cirrhotic participants.
Conclusions:
- Specific immunologic markers play a significant role in the development of HBV-related cirrhosis.
- These markers show potential for predicting cirrhosis development in chronically HBV-infected individuals.
- Further validation is required, but findings emphasize the importance of immune processes in HBV pathogenesis.
Abstract:
Host immune response and chronic inflammation associated with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection play a key role in the pathogenesis of liver diseases such as cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We sampled 175 HCC, 117 cirrhotic and 165 non-cirrhotic controls from a prospective cohort study of chronically HBV-infected individuals. Multivariable polytomous logistic regression and canonical discriminant analysis (CDA) were used to compare baseline plasma levels for 102 markers in individuals who developed cirrhosis vs. controls and those who developed HCC vs. cirrhosis. Leave-one-out cross validation was used to generate receiver operating characteristic curves to compare the predictive ability of marker groups. After multivariable adjustment, HGF (Q4v1OR: 3.74; p-trend = 0.0001), SLAMF1 (Q4v1OR: 4.07; p-trend = 0.0001), CSF1 (Q4v1OR: 3.00; p-trend = 0.002), uPA (Q4v1OR: 3.36; p-trend = 0.002), IL-8 (Q4v1OR: 2.83; p-trend = 0.004), and OPG (Q4v1OR: 2.44; p-trend = 0.005) were all found to be associated with cirrhosis development compared to controls; these markers predicted cirrhosis with 69% accuracy. CDA analysis identified a nine marker model capable of predicting cirrhosis development with 79% accuracy. No markers were significantly different between HCC and cirrhotic participants. In this study, we assessed immunologic markers in relation to liver disease in chronically-HBV infected individuals. While validation in required, these findings highlight the importance of immunologic processes in HBV-related cirrhosis.
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