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A Protocol for Analyzing Hepatitis C Virus Replication
Published on: June 26, 2014
Epidemiology of viral hepatitis C: Road to elimination in Japan
Ko Ko1, Tomoyuki Akita1, Masahiro Satake2
1Department of Epidemiology, Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, Japan.
Insights
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was historically linked to Hepatitis C virus (HCV) in Japan, accounting for 70% of cases.
- HCV's contribution to HCC has significantly declined to 49% in 2013, with further decreases anticipated.
- The epidemiology of HCV infection and its impact on HCC are shifting due to public health interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the changing epidemiology of HCV infection in Japan.
- To assess the impact of public health policies and medical advancements on HCV prevalence and HCC incidence.
- To evaluate Japan's progress towards the World Health Organization's (WHO) HCV elimination goals.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of national blood donor database for incidence and prevalence rates.
- Review of public health policies, including blood donor screening and hepatitis control acts.
- Assessment of treatment trends, including direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy and sustained virologic response (SVR) rates.
Main Results:
- HCV prevalence has decreased significantly, with new incident cases at 0.4/100,000 person-years and a total carrier count between 890,902-1,302,179 in 2015.
- HCV screening and effective treatments have disrupted transmission, leading to a lower prevalence in younger generations and an aging HCC demographic.
- High SVR rates with DAAs and a reduced number of HCV carriers suggest progress towards elimination.
Conclusions:
- Japan's comprehensive strategies have dramatically altered HCV epidemiology, shifting the predominant age for HCC to over 60.
- Continued vigilance is necessary, including regulating high-risk groups and monitoring societal changes.
- Japan is on track to potentially achieve the WHO's 2030 target for HCV elimination.
Abstract:
Although HCV infection was the main cause of HCC in Japan contributing 70% over two decades after its first cloning in 1989, it was markedly decreased to 49% in 2013 and expected to decrease continuously. Based on blood donor national database, the new incident cases were 0.4/100,000 person-years, the prevalence was 0.13% and the total number was 890,902-1,302,179 in 2015. Establishment of blood donor screening with anti-HCV measurement and nucleic acid test introduced by Japanese Red Cross as pioneer, high-level medical and surgical care, and the government's policy under the Basic Act on Hepatitis Control have changed its epidemiology and outbreak trend and also enforced the disruption of potential transmission cascades. HCV prevalence among the younger generation was extremely low in all regions, and the predominant age for HCC has shifted to over 60 years old population. Considering such changes, HCV induced HCC occurrence is supposed to be ultimately suppressed in the near future. However, taking into account society changes, regulating intravenous drugs users and monitoring high-risk groups such as tattoos, and men who have sex with men are indeed required in Japan. Understanding the epidemiological changes in HCV is important in assigning, modifying, and designating effective response systems. Selective or national action plans, strategic approaches, and cooperation between government sectors have a positive impact on HCV prevention and control. A dramatic decrease in total number of HCV carriers, increase in number of people treated with highly effective DAA, and subsequent high SVR indicates Japan might achieve WHO's target of HCV elimination by 2030.
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