Assessing forest degradation using multivariate and machine-learning methods in the Patagonian temperate rain forest
Alex Fajardo1, Juan C Llancabure2, Paulo C Moreno2,3
1Instituto de Investigación Interdisciplinario (I3), Universidad de Talca, Campus Lircay, Talca, 3460000, Chile.
Summary
Identifying forest degradation is crucial for climate change mitigation. This study found that exotic species richness and tree density effectively determine forest degradation thresholds in Chile, aiding conservation efforts.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Forestry
- Environmental Science
Background:
- Forest degradation and deforestation are major contributors to global greenhouse gas emissions.
- Quantifying the threshold between degraded and non-degraded forests remains a significant challenge.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the critical threshold of forest degradation in southern Chile's temperate evergreen rain forests.
- To identify key forest stand factors indicative of degradation status.
Main Methods:
- Established 160 plots (500 m²) across a gradient of forest alteration.
- Measured variables including species richness (native and exotic), soil nutrients, and tree density.
- Applied multivariate and machine-learning analyses to classify degradation levels.
Main Results:
- Exotic species richness (diameter at breast height < 10 cm) and tree density (diameter at breast height > 10 cm) were key indicators.
- Forest stands with ≥5 exotic species or <200 trees/ha were classified as degraded.
- Pristine forests were characterized by >1,000 trees/ha.
Conclusions:
- A machine-learning based methodology was developed to successfully identify forest degradation status.
- The findings provide valuable data for managers and policymakers in classifying and mapping degraded forests.
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