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Updated: Oct 12, 2025

Estimating Bilateral Atrial Function by Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Feature Tracking in Patients with Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: July 20, 2022
Fibrillation cycle length predicts cardiovascular events in patients with long-standing persistent atrial
Hironori Nakamura1, Shinichi Niwano2, Hidehira Fukaya2
1Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Kitasato University School of Medicine, 1-15-1 Kitasato, Minami-ku, Sagamihara, 252-0374, Japan. n.youhan@med.kitasato-u.ac.jp.
Insights
Longer fibrillation cycle length (FCL) predicts cardiovascular events in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (AF). This finding highlights FCL as a key outcome predictor in AF management.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Electrophysiology
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases risks for heart failure (HF), stroke, and death.
- Fibrillation cycle length (FCL) is a surrogate for atrial refractoriness, but its outcome impact is unclear.
- Predictors of cardiovascular events in long-standing persistent AF require further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify predictors of cardiovascular events in patients with long-standing persistent AF.
- To assess the role of FCL as a predictor of adverse cardiovascular outcomes.
Main Methods:
- 190 patients with long-standing persistent AF were included, excluding those with valvular AF or on anti-arrhythmic drugs.
- Fibrillation cycle length (FCL) was determined using fast Fourier transformation of surface electrocardiogram waves.
- A composite outcome of cardiovascular events, cerebrovascular events, and all-cause death was tracked over a median of 2.6 years.
Main Results:
- 31 patients experienced the primary composite outcome during follow-up.
- Longer FCL and a history of HF were identified as independent predictors of adverse outcomes in multivariate analysis.
- Patients with FCL > 160 ms had a significantly increased risk of adverse outcomes (HR 12.9, p < 0.001).
Conclusions:
- Fibrillation cycle length (FCL) is independently associated with cardiovascular outcomes in patients with long-standing persistent AF.
- FCL may serve as a valuable prognostic marker in this patient population.
Background:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of heart failure (HF), stroke, and death. Although fibrillation cycle length (FCL) is used as a surrogate for atrial refractoriness, its impact on outcomes remains unclear. This study aimed to identify predictors of cardiovascular events, including FCL, in patients with long-standing persistent AF.
Methods:
The study included 190 consecutive patients with long-standing persistent AF (mean age 74 years, 74% male). Patients with valvular AF or hemodialysis-dependent end-stage renal disease and those on anti-arrhythmic drugs were excluded. The primary composite outcome was occurrence of cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, HF), cerebrovascular events (stroke, transient ischemic attack), and all-cause death. FCL was calculated by fast Fourier transformation analysis of fibrillation waves in the surface electrocardiogram.
Results:
Over a median follow-up of 2.6 years, the primary outcome occurred in 31 patients (cardiovascular events, n = 18; cerebrovascular events, n = 8; all-cause death, n = 5). In multivariate analysis, longer FCL and history of HF were independent predictors of these outcomes. In a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for age, sex, and history of HF, patients with an FCL > 160 ms (cut-off determined by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis) were at increased risk of the outcome (hazard ratio 12.9; 95% confidence interval 4.99-44.10; p < 0.001).
Conclusions:
FCL was independently associated with cardiovascular outcomes in patients with long-standing persistent AF.
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