ISPRF: a machine learning model to predict the immune subtype of kidney cancer samples by four genes

Zhifeng Wang1, Zihao Chen2, Hongfan Zhao2

  • 1Department of Urology, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou University People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, China.

Abstract

Insights

This study identifies immune subtypes in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) and develops a predictive model for immunotherapy response. The findings aid in selecting patients for personalized treatment strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Immunology
  • Bioinformatics

Background:

  • Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) is the most prevalent kidney cancer subtype.
  • Immunotherapy, particularly anti-PD-1, is a key treatment for ccRCC, but patient selection remains a challenge.
  • Accurate biomarkers and predictive models are crucial for optimizing immunotherapy efficacy in ccRCC.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify distinct immune subtypes within ccRCC.
  • To develop a machine learning model for predicting immunotherapy response.
  • To provide a tool for personalized ccRCC treatment selection.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 831 ccRCC transcriptomic profiles from six datasets.
  • Unsupervised clustering based on immune cell enrichment scores to define subtypes.
  • Weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) to identify prognostic hub genes.
  • Random Forest (RF) model development using four key genes (CTLA4, FOXP3, IFNG, CD19) for subtype prediction.

Main Results:

  • Two immune subtypes were identified, with subtype 2 showing enrichment in immune cell markers and immunotherapy biomarkers.
  • Four hub genes (CTLA4, FOXP3, IFNG, CD19) were found to be associated with immune subtypes and prognosis.
  • The RF model achieved an AUC of 0.78 for predicting immune subtypes.
  • Subtype 2 patients demonstrated improved immunotherapy response and prognosis in validation cohorts.

Conclusions:

  • A novel model and an accessible online tool were developed to identify ccRCC patients likely to benefit from immunotherapy.
  • This work represents a significant advancement towards personalized immunotherapy for ccRCC.
  • The developed tool facilitates precise patient stratification for targeted treatment.

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