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Aspirin use is associated with increased risk for incident heart failure: a patient-level pooled analysis
Blerim Mujaj1,2, Zhen-Yu Zhang1, Wen-Yi Yang1
1Studies Coordinating Centre, Research Unit Hypertension and Cardiovascular Epidemiology, KU Leuven Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
Insights
Aspirin use in patients at risk for heart failure (HF) was linked to an increased incidence of HF. These findings suggest caution when prescribing aspirin to patients with or at risk of HF.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Recent trials indicate limited benefits of aspirin for primary cardiovascular disease prevention.
- The specific impact of aspirin on incident heart failure (HF) risk remains unclear.
- Existing research has not definitively established whether aspirin use elevates HF risk.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between aspirin use and incident HF in both primary and secondary prevention contexts.
- To determine if aspirin use increases the risk of developing HF in at-risk populations.
- To provide evidence-based recommendations for aspirin prescription in HF patients.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from 30,827 patients at risk for HF across six observational studies.
- Recording of baseline cardiovascular risk factors and aspirin use.
- Assessment of incident fatal or non-fatal HF over a median follow-up of 5.3 years.
- Utilization of multivariable-adjusted proportional hazard regression and propensity-score matching to analyze associations.
Main Results:
- Aspirin use was associated with a significantly increased risk of incident HF (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 1.26; P ≤ 0.001).
- This association persisted in propensity-score-matched analyses and in patients without a prior history of cardiovascular disease.
- The increased risk of HF associated with aspirin was independent of other cardiovascular risk factors.
Conclusions:
- Aspirin use is associated with incident heart failure in at-risk patients.
- The findings suggest that aspirin should be prescribed cautiously in individuals at risk of or with existing heart failure.
- Further clinical trials are warranted to confirm these observational findings and refine treatment guidelines.
Aims:
Recent trials evaluating the effect of aspirin in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease showed little or no benefit. However, the role of aspirin on the risk of incident heart failure (HF) remains elusive. This study aimed to evaluate the role of aspirin use on HF incidence in primary and secondary prevention and whether aspirin use increases the risk of incident HF in patients at risk.
Methods And Results:
Data from 30 827 patients at risk for HF enrolled in six observational studies were analysed [women 33.9%, mean age (±standard deviation) 66.8 ± 9.2 years]. Cardiovascular risk factors and aspirin use were recorded at baseline, and patients were followed up for the first incident of fatal or non-fatal HF. The association of incident HF with aspirin use was assessed using multivariable-adjusted proportional hazard regression, which accounted for study and cardiovascular risk factors. Over 5.3 years (median; 5th-95th percentile interval, 2.1-11.7 years), 1330 patients experienced HF. The fully adjusted hazard ratio (HR) associated with aspirin use was 1.26 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-1.41; P ≤ 0.001]. Further, in a propensity-score-matched analysis, the HR was 1.26 (95% CI 1.10-1.44; P ≤ 0.001). In 22 690 patients (73.6%) without history of cardiovascular disease, the HR was 1.27 (95% CI 1.10-1.46; P = 0.001).
Conclusions:
In patients, at risk, aspirin use was associated with incident HF, independent of other risk factors. In the absence of conclusive trial evidence, our observations suggest that aspirins should be prescribed with caution in patients at risk of HF or having HF.
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