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Defining Risk and Risk Factors for Unplanned ICU Admission of Trauma Patients
Stephen E Ranney1, Tim H Lee1, Peter W Callas2
1Department of Surgery, Larner College of Medicine & University of Vermont Medical Center, Burlington, Vermont.
Background:
Unplanned ICU admissions (up-ICUad) are associated with poor outcomes. It is difficult to identify who is at risk for up-ICUad in trauma patients. This study aimed to identify injury patterns and comorbidities associated with up-ICUad and develop a predictive tool for who is at risk.
Methods:
A retrospective study compared trauma patients admitted to the floor who experienced an up-ICUad to similar patients without an up-ICUad. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression identified independent risk factors associated with up-ICUad. Based on those factors, a Risk Score (RS) was created and compared between the two groups.
Results:
2.15% of the 7206 patients experienced an up-ICUad. The up-ICUad group was older, experienced longer length of stay, and had higher mortality. Age, congestive heart failure, COPD, peptic ulcer disease, mild liver disease, CKD, and significant injuries to the thorax, spine, and lower extremities were independently associated with up-ICUad. A RS equation was created and was used for each patient.
Conclusions:
Trauma patients are at increased risk for up-ICUad based on specific factors. These factors can be used to calculate a RS to determine who is at greatest risk for an up-ICUad which may be helpful for preventing up-ICUad.
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