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A proactive lane-changing risk prediction framework considering driving intention recognition and different

Qiangqiang Shangguan1, Ting Fu1, Junhua Wang1

  • 1The Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering, Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai, China; College of Transportation Engineering, Tongji University, 4800 Cao'an Highway, Shanghai 201804, China.

Accident; Analysis and Prevention
|November 25, 2021
PubMed
Summary

This study introduces a new framework for proactive lane-changing risk prediction by integrating driver intention recognition. It accurately predicts lane-changing intentions and risks, enhancing driving safety in advanced driver-assistance systems.

Keywords:
Driving intention recognitionLane-changing risk predictionLong Short-term Memory (LSTM)Trajectory data

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Area of Science:

  • Road safety
  • Artificial intelligence in transportation
  • Driver behavior analysis

Background:

  • Proactive lane-changing (LC) risk prediction is crucial for driver safety but often lacks timely intention recognition.
  • Existing models rarely differentiate risks between left and right lane changes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a proactive LC risk prediction framework integrating driver intention recognition.
  • To analyze differences in risk factors for left (LCL) and right (LCR) lane changes.
  • To identify key features influencing LC risk.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized Long Short-term Memory (LSTM) for driver intention recognition (LC, LCL, LCR, lane-keeping).
  • Employed Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) for LC risk prediction.
  • Validated the framework using the highD trajectory dataset.

Main Results:

  • Achieved high accuracy in intention recognition: 97% for LCL, 96% for LCR, and 97% for lane-keeping.
  • LGBM demonstrated superior performance over other machine learning algorithms for risk prediction.
  • Vehicle interaction characteristics in the current lane were identified as the most significant risk factors.

Conclusions:

  • The integrated framework effectively predicts LC intentions and risks.
  • The findings highlight the importance of intention recognition for practical LC risk assessment.
  • The framework offers potential for integration into advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving for enhanced safety.