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How Can Hybrid Simulation Support Organizations in Assessing COVID-19 Containment Measures?

Chiara Cimini1, Giuditta Pezzotta1, Alexandra Lagorio1

  • 1Department of Management, Information and Production Engineering, University of Bergamo, 24044 Dalmine, Italy.

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|November 27, 2021
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces a hybrid simulation model combining agent-based and discrete event simulation to assess COVID-19 containment strategies in indoor settings. The model effectively evaluates public health interventions by simulating individual behaviors and crowd dynamics.

Keywords:
COVID-19agent-based simulationsdiscrete event simulation modelshybrid simulation

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Computational modeling
  • Public health

Background:

  • Simulation models are crucial for understanding epidemic spread and containment policies.
  • Assessing COVID-19 containment in indoor environments presents unique challenges due to human behavior and crowd dynamics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To illustrate how hybrid simulation can support companies in evaluating COVID-19 containment measures within indoor environments.
  • To present a novel Hybrid Simulation (HS) model integrating Agent-Based Simulation (ABS) and Discrete Event Simulation (DES).

Main Methods:

  • Developed a Hybrid Simulation (HS) model comprising an Agent-Based Simulation (ABS) for virus contagion and a Discrete Event Simulation (DES) for people flow.
  • Modeled specific individual behaviors in space and time, allowing adaptability to various epidemiological conditions and facility types.
  • Validated the HS model using a case study of a university campus in northern Italy.

Main Results:

  • The HS model successfully simulated virus contagion and crowd interactions in an indoor setting.
  • The case study demonstrated the model's potential in assessing the effectiveness of implemented COVID-19 containment measures.
  • The study highlighted the model's ability to adapt parameters for different scenarios and facilities.

Conclusions:

  • The Hybrid Simulation (HS) approach offers a comprehensive tool for decision-makers to evaluate contagion containment strategies.
  • This integrated ABS and DES model provides valuable insights for managing public health risks in indoor environments.
  • The HS model can be adapted for diverse epidemiological situations and facility types, enhancing its practical applicability.