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A polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout
Christopher T Dawes1, Aysu Okbay2, Sven Oskarsson3
1Wilf Family Department of Politics, New York University, New York, NY 10012; cdawes@nyu.edu.
Summary
Genetic factors influence political participation. Genes linked to education significantly predict voter turnout, especially in less prominent elections, mediated by educational attainment and cognitive ability.
Area of Science:
- Behavioral Genetics
- Political Science
- Sociogenomics
Background:
- Twin and adoption studies indicate genetic influences on political participation.
- Previous research designs lack the precision to identify specific genes or pathways.
- Restrictive assumptions in older studies limit understanding of genetic contributions to voting behavior.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between genes related to educational attainment and voter turnout.
- To explore the mediating roles of educational attainment and cognitive ability in this relationship.
- To examine genetic influences on political participation across different electoral contexts.
Main Methods:
- Utilized three US and one Swedish sample for genetic association analyses.
- Employed polygenic scores derived from genetic variants associated with educational attainment.
- Conducted within-family and mediation analyses to assess direct genetic effects and pathways.
Main Results:
- A polygenic score for education was significantly associated with voter turnout.
- The strongest genetic associations were observed in second-order midterm (US) and European Parliament (Sweden) elections.
- Educational attainment and cognitive ability mediated 41-63% of the genetic effect on turnout.
Conclusions:
- Genetic propensity for education is a significant predictor of voter turnout.
- Genetic nurture plays a role in second-order elections, alongside direct genetic effects.
- Education-linked genes influence political participation through educational attainment and cognitive ability.
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