[How to recognize a patient with palliative needs : a «surprise» question to prevent bad surprises]

Early discussion on palliative care with patients with advanced, progressive or terminal disease is difficult regardless patient's life expectancy. In Belgium, a Royal Decree sets the criteria to identify patients with palliative needs. For that purpose, the Palliative Care Indicators Tool (PICT) is proposed. This 3-step identification tool designed for physicians begins with the so-called surprise question, «Would you be surprised if your patient died in the next 6 to 12 months?». The second and third steps examine the fragility and incurability criteria, respectively. The surprise question intends to encourage the clinician to trust his/her intuition and to promote a reflection on patient's needs. The PICT facilitates communication between caregivers. Also, it makes possible early thinking about advanced care planning. Hence, it allows patients to receive palliative care in due time. In this paper, after reviewing the background of the surprise question, we shall examine the benefits and limitations of the surprise question.