Circulating miRNA Signature Predicts Response to Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) are recommended to receive preoperative chemoradiotherapy (PCRT) followed by surgery. Response to PCRT varies widely: 60%-70% of patients with LARC do not derive therapeutic benefit from PCRT, whereas 15%-20% of patients achieve pathologic complete response (pCR). We sought to develop a liquid biopsy assay for identifying response to PCRT in patients with LARC.

We analyzed two genome-wide microRNA (miRNA) expression profiling data sets from tumor tissue samples for in silico discovery (GSE68204) and validation (GSE29298). We prioritized biomarkers in pretreatment plasma specimens from clinical training (n = 41; 15 responders and 26 nonresponders) and validation (n = 65; 29 responders and 36 nonresponders) cohorts of patients with LARC. We developed an integrated miRNA panel and established a risk assessment model, which was combined with the miRNA panel and carcinoembryonic antigen levels.

Our comprehensive discovery effort identified an 8-miRNA panel that robustly predicted response to PCRT, with an excellent accuracy in the discovery (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.95) and validation (AUC = 0.92) cohorts. We successfully established a circulating miRNA panel with remarkable diagnostic accuracy in the clinical training (AUC = 0.82) and validation (AUC = 0.81) cohorts. Moreover, the predictive accuracy of the panel was significantly superior to conventional clinical factors in both cohorts (P < .01) and the risk assessment model was superior (AUC = 0.83). Finally, we applied our model to detect patients with pathologic complete response and showed that it was dramatically superior to currently used pathologic features (AUC = 0.92).

Our novel risk assessment signature for predicting response to PCRT has a potential for clinical translation as a liquid biopsy assay in patients with LARC.