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Stacking Ensemble-Based Intelligent Machine Learning Model for Predicting Post-COVID-19 Complications
Aditya Gupta1, Vibha Jain2, Amritpal Singh1
1Dr. B R Ambedkar National Institute of Technology, Jalandhar, India.
Insights
A new stacking ensemble model using deep neural networks accurately predicts heart disease in COVID-19 survivors. This advancement aids in managing long COVID complications and improving patient outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic has led to widespread healthcare challenges.
- Long COVID complications, particularly heart disease, strain healthcare resources.
- Limited datasets on post-COVID-19 complications hinder research.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a predictive model for heart disease in COVID-19 survivors.
- To address the scarcity of post-COVID-19 complication data.
- To evaluate the model's performance against established techniques.
Main Methods:
- Collected data from COVID-19 survivors regarding post-COVID complications.
- Preprocessed data, handled missing values, and applied oversampling.
- Developed a stacking ensemble binary classifier with deep neural networks.
Main Results:
- The proposed model achieved 93.23% accuracy in predicting heart disease.
- Demonstrated high specificity (95.74%), precision (95.24%), and recall (92.05%).
- Outperformed baseline models including decision trees, random forest, SVM, and ANN.
Conclusions:
- The developed stacking ensemble model is effective for predicting post-COVID-19 heart disease.
- The approach offers a valuable tool for managing long COVID cardiac complications.
- This research contributes to understanding and mitigating long-term effects of COVID-19.
Abstract:
The recent outbreak of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has resulted in healthcare crises across the globe. Moreover, the persistent and prolonged complications of post-COVID-19 or long COVID are also putting extreme pressure on hospital authorities due to the constrained healthcare resources. Out of many long-lasting post-COVID-19 complications, heart disease has been realized as the most common among COVID-19 survivors. The motivation behind this research is the limited availability of the post-COVID-19 dataset. In the current research, data related to post-COVID complications are collected by personally contacting the previously infected COVID-19 patients. The dataset is preprocessed to deal with missing values followed by oversampling to generate numerous instances, and model training. A binary classifier based on a stacking ensemble is modeled with deep neural networks for the prediction of heart diseases, post-COVID-19 infection. The proposed model is validated against other baseline techniques, such as decision trees, random forest, support vector machines, and artificial neural networks. Results show that the proposed technique outperforms other baseline techniques and achieves the highest accuracy of 93.23%. Moreover, the results of specificity (95.74%), precision (95.24%), and recall (92.05%) also prove the utility of the adopted approach in comparison to other techniques for the prediction of heart diseases.
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