Space-time fractional porous media equation: Application on modeling of S&P500 price return

We present the fractional extensions of the porous media equation (PME) with an emphasis on the applications in stock markets. Three kinds of "fractionalization" are considered: local, where the fractional derivatives for both space and time are local; nonlocal, where both space and time fractional derivatives are nonlocal; and mixed, where one derivative is local, and another is nonlocal. Our study shows that these fractional equations admit solutions in terms of generalized q-Gaussian functions. Each solution of these fractional formulations contains a certain number of free parameters that can be fitted with experimental data. Our focus is to analyze stock market data and determine the model that better describes the time evolution of the probability distribution of the price return. We proposed a generalized PME motivated by recent observations showing that q-Gaussian distributions can model the evolution of the probability distribution. Various phases (weak, strong super diffusion, and normal diffusion) were observed on the time evolution of the probability distribution of the price return separated by different fitting parameters [Phys. Rev. E 99, 062313 (2019)1063-651X10.1103/PhysRevE.99.062313]. After testing the obtained solutions for the S&P500 price return, we found that the local and nonlocal schemes fit the data better than the classic porous media equation.