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Obstetric Complications and Polygenic Risk Score: Which Role in Predicting a Severe Short-Term Outcome in Psychosis?
Sarah Tosato1, Chiara Bonetto1, Evangelos Vassos2,3
1Department of Neuroscience, Biomedicine and Movement Sciences, Section of Psychiatry, University of Verona, 37134 Verona, Italy.
Insights
Obstetric complications (OCs) in mothers predict poorer outcomes for first episode psychosis (FEP) patients. However, the schizophrenia polygenic risk score (SZ-PRS) did not show a significant effect on illness course.
Area of Science:
- Neuroscience
- Psychiatry
- Genetics
Background:
- Improving outcomes in psychosis is a significant clinical challenge.
- Obstetric complications (OCs) are explored as risk factors and outcome predictors in schizophrenia (SZ).
- Limited research exists on OCs' impact on first episode psychosis (FEP) patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if OCs predict illness course and psychopathology severity in FEP patients after two years.
- To investigate if the schizophrenia polygenic risk score (SZ-PRS) predicts FEP illness course.
- To examine potential gene-environment interactions between OCs and SZ-PRS.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 264 FEP patients was assessed using standardized instruments.
- OCs were recorded via maternal interviews using the Lewis-Murray scale.
- Schizophrenia polygenic risk score (SZ-PRS) was calculated for each patient.
Main Results:
- 30% of patients reported at least one OC.
- Patients with OCs were more likely to have a non-remitting illness course (35.3% vs. 16.3%, p=0.014).
- No association was found between SZ-PRS and illness course, nor evidence for gene-environment interaction.
Conclusions:
- Obstetric complications are associated with poor short-term outcomes in FEP patients.
- SZ-PRS did not serve as a prognostic indicator for poor outcomes in this FEP cohort.
- OCs represent a potential predictive factor for illness trajectory in early psychosis.
Abstract:
Understanding and improving the outcomes of psychosis remains a major challenge for clinical research. Obstetric complications (OCs) as a risk factor for schizophrenia (SZ) have been investigated as a potential predictor of outcomes in relation to illness severity and poorer treatment outcome, but there are less reports on first episode psychosis (FEP) patients. We test whether OCs, collected in a cohort of FEP patients, can predict illness course and psychopathology severity after 2 years from the onset. Moreover, we explore whether the SZ-polygenic risk score (PRS) would predict the illness course and whether the interaction between OCS and PRS shows a significant effect. A cohort of 264 FEP patients were assessed with standardized instruments. OCs were recorded using the Lewis-Murray scale in interviews with the patients' mothers: 30% of them reported at least one OC. Patients with at least one OC were more likely to have a non-remitting course of illness compared to those without OCs (35.3% vs. 16.3%, p = 0.014). No association between SZ-PRS and course of illness nor evidence for a gene-environment interaction was found. In our sample, poor short-term outcomes were associated with OCs, while SZ-PRS was not a prognostic indicator of poor outcomes.
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