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Does the initial chest radiograph severity in COVID-19 impact the short- and long-term outcome? - a perspective from
Maria M D'souza1, Aruna Kaushik1, Jeanne Maria Dsouza2
1Institute of Nuclear Medicine and Allied Sciences, Delhi, India.
Insights
Chest X-rays (CXRs) predict COVID-19 outcomes. Higher CXR scores correlate with severe disease, mortality, and long-term symptoms, guiding patient management.
Area of Science:
- Radiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Pulmonology
Background:
- Chest radiography (CXR) is a common diagnostic tool for COVID-19.
- The predictive value of CXR for long-term COVID-19 outcomes remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between baseline CXR findings and short-term and long-term outcomes in COVID-19 patients.
Main Methods:
- 1530 COVID-19 patients had baseline CXRs analyzed for lesion patterns.
- The Brixia scoring system quantified radiographic severity.
- Short-term outcomes included clinical severity, hospitalization duration, and mortality.
- Survivors were assessed for residual symptoms at 5-6 months.
Main Results:
- 67% of patients had abnormal CXRs, often showing bilateral, basal ground-glass opacities.
- The median Brixia score was 2 (IQR [0-6]).
- 36% of survivors reported residual symptoms at follow-up.
- CXR scores correlated with disease severity and hospitalization duration.
- CXR scores independently predicted mortality and long-term symptoms.
Conclusions:
- Chest radiograph severity predicts both short-term and long-term consequences of COVID-19.
- CXR findings can serve as a prognostic indicator for patient management and follow-up.
Purpose:
The chest radiograph (CXR) is among the most widely used investigations in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. Little is known about its predictive role on the long-term outcome. The purpose of this study was to explore its association with the short and long-term outcome in COVID-19 patients.
Methods:
A total of 1530 patients were assessed for the presence, radiographic pattern and distribution of lung lesions observed on baseline chest radiographs obtained at admission. The Brixia scoring system was applied for semiquantitative assessment of lesion severity. Short-term outcome was determined by clinical severity, duration of hospitalization and mortality. The 1415 survivors in this group were assessed after 5-6 months for the presence of residual symptoms.
Results:
About 67% patients had an abnormal baseline CXR. Bilateral involvement with a basal preponderance was observed and ground-glass opacification was the most frequent finding. The Brixia score ranged from 0 to 16, median 2, interquartile range (IQR) [0-6]. About 36% patients were symptomatic on 5-6-month follow-up, with fatigability being the commonest symptom. A good correlation was observed between the CXR score and disease severity as well as duration of hospitalization. On multivariate analysis, the CXR score was found to be a significant independent predictor of in-patient mortality as well as presence of long-term residual symptoms in survivors.
Conclusions:
Disease severity as seen on the chest radiograph appears to play an important role in driving the short and long-term consequences of COVID-19 and could serve as a prognostic indicator, which influences short-term management and long-term follow-up.
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