Identification of an IDO1-based immune classifier for survival prediction of upper tract urothelial carcinoma

The limited response rate of immunotherapy in upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) might be attributed to additional immunosuppressive mechanisms in vivo. As a promising immune checkpoint target, the expression and prognostic role of indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase 1 (IDO1) in UTUC remains unknown. In this study, the expression and prognostic value of IDO1 was analyzed in 251 patients from 3 independent cohorts. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model was used to construct an IDO1-based immune classifier and external validation was performed to further validate the classifier. RNA sequencing and immunofluorescence were used to explore the immune contexture of different risk groups stratified by classifier. We found that high IDO1 expression on tumor cells (TC) indicated a poorer overall survival and disease-free survival in all cohorts. Patients with high expression of IDO1 TC possessed increased infiltration of CD4⁺ , CD8⁺ and Foxp3⁺ T cells. An immune classifier based on intratumoral CD8⁺ lymphocytes, IDO1 TC, and stromal PD-L1 expression status was developed, with its area under the curves (AUCs) values for overall survival at 5 y being 0.79 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65-0.93) in the discovery cohort, 0.75 (95% CI 0.58-0.92) and 0.78 (95% CI 0.65-0.92) in the internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. The high-risk group stratified by the immune classifier was associated with immunosuppressive contexture, accompanied by enhanced CD8⁺ T cells exhaustion patterns. Our IDO1-based immune classifier can provide a superior accuracy for survival prediction and lead to individual stratification of UTUC immune subtypes.