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Simulating Urban Expansion Based on Ecological Security Pattern-A Case Study of Hangzhou, China
Xiaochang Yang1, Sinan Li1, Congmou Zhu1
1Institute of Applied Remote Sensing and Information Technology, College of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China.
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
|January 11, 2022
Summary
Ecological security patterns effectively curb urban expansion by simulating future growth scenarios. Hangzhou
Area of Science:
- Urban ecology and spatial planning
- Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and remote sensing
- Sustainable development and environmental management
Background:
- Disordered urban expansion threatens ecological land and regional sustainable development.
- Ecological security patterns offer a framework to balance urban growth and ecological preservation.
- Understanding the impact of these patterns on urban expansion is crucial for effective planning.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the impact of ecological security patterns on urban expansion in Hangzhou.
- To simulate urban expansion under natural and ecological security scenarios using advanced modeling techniques.
- To provide insights for urban planning and green development in metropolitan areas.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Cellular Automata-Markov (CA-Markov) model and the Future Land Use Simulation (FLUS) model.
- Simulated urban expansion patterns for 2030 under two distinct scenarios: natural development and ecological security.
- Identified and analyzed ecological source areas, corridors, and nodes within the study region.
Main Results:
- Ecological source areas are concentrated in western mountainous regions, with 14 corridors primarily along valleys and rivers.
- Construction land expansion showed directional shifts and outward movement from the city center between 2000 and 2018.
- Simulations indicated that ecological security patterns significantly reduce construction land area, proportion, and growth rates compared to natural development by 2030.
Conclusions:
- Ecological security patterns demonstrate a clear capacity to effectively curb and manage urban expansion.
- The study highlights the importance of integrating ecological considerations into urban planning for sustainable development.
- Findings offer valuable theoretical and practical references for metropolitan planning and green development strategies.
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