Detection and Prediction of Macrophage Activation Syndrome in Still's Disease

Distinguishing between macrophage activation syndrome (MAS) and a simple flare of Still's disease (SD) may be challenging. We sought to clarify the clinical features and outcome of MAS in SD and to explore predictive factors of MAS development. Demographic and clinical data, treatments, and outcomes were recorded in a cohort of 206 SD patients. SD patients with and without MAS were compared. To explore predictive factors for the development of MAS, patients were compared at the time of SD diagnosis. Twenty (9.7%) patients experienced MAS, which was inaugural in 12 cases. Patients with MAS were more likely to have hepatomegaly (OR, 3.71; 95% CI, 1.14-11.2; p = 0.03) and neurological symptoms (OR, 4.43; 95% CI, 1.08-15.3; p = 0.04) than patients without MAS. Cytopenias, abnormal liver tests, and coagulation disorders were significantly more frequent in patients with MAS; lactate dehydrogenase and serum ferritin levels were significantly higher. An optimized threshold of 3500 μg/L for serum ferritin yielded a sensitivity (Se) of 85% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 97% for identifying patients with/without MAS. Survival analysis showed that a high ferritin level at the time of SD diagnosis was predictive of MAS development (p < 0.001). Specific factors, including neurological symptoms, cytopenias, elevated LDH, and coagulopathy, may contribute to the early detection of MAS. Extreme hyperferritinemia at the onset of SD is a prognostic factor for the development of MAS.