Long-Term Outcomes for Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome and Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation
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Updated: Oct 7, 2025

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Published on: February 26, 2013
Pishoy Gouda1, Douglas C Dover2, Anamaria Savu2
1Division of Cardiology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.
Insights
Patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and a history of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) face worse long-term outcomes. This history significantly increases the risk of mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke within three years.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Short-term outcomes for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) are known to be poorer.
- Long-term prognosis for this patient group remains less understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the long-term prognosis of patients hospitalized with ACS who have a prior history of NVAF.
- To determine the association between a history of NVAF and adverse outcomes at 3 years post-ACS hospitalization.
Main Methods:
- Linked administrative health databases in Alberta, Canada, to identify ACS patients (STEMI, NSTEMI, unstable angina) from 2008-2019.
- Stratified patients based on pre-hospitalization NVAF status.
- Utilized Cox models to assess the composite outcome of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke at 3 years.
Main Results:
- 11.7% of 54,309 ACS hospitalizations involved patients with a history of NVAF.
- Patients with prior NVAF were older, more likely female, had higher comorbidity burden, and more frequently presented with NSTEMI.
- The 3-year composite outcome occurred in 37.0% of patients with prior NVAF versus 17.4% without (p <0.001).
- A history of NVAF was associated with a 1.14-fold higher risk of the primary outcome, particularly for STEMI and NSTEMI.
Conclusions:
- A history of NVAF at the time of ACS presentation is linked to a worse long-term prognosis.
- The increased risk is significant for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-STEMI (NSTEMI).
- Further research may explore targeted interventions for ACS patients with NVAF.
Abstract:
Short-term outcomes are worse for patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) with a history of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). However, long-term prognosis remains unclear. We linked administrative health databases to identify patients hospitalized with ACS (ST-elevation myocardial infarction [STEMI], non-STEMI [NSTEMI], and unstable angina) between 2008 and 2019 in Alberta, Canada. Patients were stratified according to history of NVAF before hospitalization. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality, hospitalization for myocardial infarction, or stroke at 3 years. Cox models were constructed to estimate the association between ACS, NVAF, and outcomes. Of 54,309 ACS hospitalizations, 6,351 patients (11.7%) had a history of NVAF. Compared with patients without NVAF, patients with previous NVAF were older (75.6 ± 11.6 vs 64.9 ± 13.4 years), women (35.1% vs 30.0%), had higher comorbid burden (Charlson co-morbidity index 3.0 vs 1.0), and more often presented with NSTEMI (57.5% vs 49.0%). The primary outcome occurred in 37.0% of patients with previous NVAF and 17.4% without (p <0.001). In the multivariable analysis, there was a 1.14-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09 to 1.20) higher risk of the primary outcome in patients with previous NVAF. There was a significant association with STEMI (adjusted harazard ratio [aHR] 1.24, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.36) and NSTEMI (aHR 1.12, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.19) but not with unstable angina (aHR 1.04, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.22). In conclusion, in this population-based study, we identified that a history of NVAF at ACS presentation is associated with worse long-term prognosis, particularly for STEMI and NSTEMI.
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