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Updated: Oct 6, 2025

A Protocol for Rapid Post-mortem Cell Culture of Diffuse Intrinsic Pontine Glioma DIPG

A Protocol for Rapid Post-mortem Cell Culture of Diffuse Intrinsic Pontine Glioma DIPG

Published on: March 7, 2017

Why postmortems fail.

Robert Jervis¹

¹Department of Political Science, Columbia University, New York, NY 10017.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

|January 14, 2022

Summary

Investigations into major disasters often fail due to political pressures and flawed social science methods. This leads to biased postmortems that neglect crucial lessons, hindering future prevention efforts.

Area of Science:

Social Science
Disaster Studies
Political Science

Background:

High-profile disasters frequently trigger demands for investigations.
Calls for identifying missed warning signs and understanding failures in "connecting the dots" are common.
Existing investigation methods are often compromised by political pressures and inadequate social science approaches.

Purpose of the Study:

To analyze the common flaws in post-disaster investigations.
To predict the likely shortcomings of upcoming inquiries into significant events.
To highlight the impact of political and psychological factors on investigation outcomes.

Main Methods:

Critical analysis of historical investigation patterns.
Identification of recurring political and psychological biases in postmortems.

Keywords:

cognitive biases organizational learning postmortems social science methodology

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Last Updated: Oct 6, 2025

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Application of social science principles to evaluate investigation methodologies.

Main Results:

Post-disaster investigations are frequently undermined by political interference.
Psychological biases such as hindsight bias and premature cognitive closure significantly impair objective analysis.
The neglect of comparative methods and social science rigor leads to flawed conclusions.

Conclusions:

Upcoming investigations, such as those for the January 6th Capitol event and the Afghan government's end, are predicted to be flawed.
Effective disaster investigation requires mitigating political influence and adopting robust social science methodologies.
Addressing cognitive biases and employing comparative analysis are crucial for accurate post-disaster assessments.