How disease risk awareness modulates transmission: coupling infectious disease models with behavioural dynamics
Jaime Cascante-Vega1,2, Samuel Torres-Florez1, Juan Cordovez1
1Departamento de Ingeniería Biomédica, Grupo de Investigación en Biología Matemática y Computacional, Universidad de los Andes, Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
Royal Society Open Science
|January 17, 2022
Summary
Individuals
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Game Theory
- Mathematical Modeling
Background:
- Traditional epidemiological models often overlook adaptive human behavior.
- Behavioral changes, particularly in response to disease awareness, significantly impact transmission dynamics.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a theoretical framework integrating behavioral and epidemiological dynamics.
- To investigate how infection awareness influences disease spread in a population.
Main Methods:
- Coupled a game theory model for social behavior with a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemiological model.
- Incorporated infection awareness as a factor influencing contact rates.
- Analyzed the impact of awareness on disease dynamics within theoretical contact networks (global vs. local).
Main Results:
- Increased individual infection awareness leads to a decrease in the final fraction of infected individuals.
- The spatial structure of contact networks plays a crucial role in determining the disease's steady state, even with heightened awareness.
Conclusions:
- Adaptive behavior, driven by infection awareness, can mitigate disease spread.
- Network topology is a critical determinant of disease outcomes, interacting with behavioral responses.
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