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Practical recommendations for implementing a Bayesian adaptive phase I design during a pandemic
Sean Ewings1, Geoff Saunders2, Thomas Jaki3,4
1Southampton Clinical Trials Unit, University of Southampton, Mailpoint 131, Southampton General Hospital, Tremona Road, Southampton, SO16, UK. sean.ewings@soton.ac.uk.
Model-based dose-finding designs improve efficacy testing over traditional methods. This study offers a practical approach to implementing these advanced designs, demonstrated in a COVID-19 trial.
Area of Science:
- Clinical Trials
- Biostatistics
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Model-based dose-finding designs, like the continual reassessment method, offer superior efficacy compared to traditional 3+3 designs.
- Implementing advanced dose-finding designs requires specialized expertise and significant time investment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To present a practical framework for developing and implementing model-based dose-finding designs.
- To guide the derivation of necessary parameters and decision-making processes for these designs.
- To demonstrate the application of model-based design in a real-world clinical trial setting.
Main Methods:
- A practical approach to parameter derivation and decision-making input for model-based designs is outlined.
- A model-based dose-finding trial was designed and implemented within the AGILE platform trial for COVID-19 treatments.
- The study involved a phase I/II adaptive design for novel therapeutics.
Main Results:
- The practical delivery of the AGILE platform trial is discussed, highlighting information supporting the Safety Review Committee's decisions.
- Key components for a statistical analysis plan in model-based designs are identified.
- Challenges encountered during the study and acceptable adaptations for model-based designs are explored.
Conclusions:
- The study successfully demonstrates the design and delivery of an adaptive, model-based dose-finding trial.
- This work aims to facilitate the broader adoption of advanced dose-finding methodologies in clinical research.
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