Prognosis of headache in children: a 25-year follow-up

Carlota Ferreirinha Rodrigues Lopes1,2, Tiago Proença Dos Santos3, Isabel Pavão Martins4

  • 1Pediatrics Department, Central Alentejo Hospital Centre, Alentejo, Portugal. carlotalopes@campus.ul.pt.

Insights

Most childhood migraine patients continue to experience headaches into adulthood, though many report improvement. Male sex was the only predictor of a favorable outcome in this long-term study of pediatric migraine.

Area of Science:

  • Neurology
  • Pediatric Neurology
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Childhood migraine is a common neurological disorder with uncertain long-term outcomes.
  • Understanding the natural history and prognosis of pediatric migraine is crucial for effective management.
  • Predictors of favorable outcomes in childhood migraine require further investigation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To describe the natural history of childhood migraines.
  • To evaluate the long-term prognosis of pediatric migraine patients.
  • To identify predictors of a favorable outcome in individuals diagnosed with migraine in childhood.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 118 children (ages 2-15) diagnosed with migraine in 1994 were re-evaluated 25 years later.
  • A standardized telephone interview assessed headache characteristics, treatment, precipitants, and family history.
  • Follow-up diagnosis was confirmed using ID-Migraine and a semistructured interview.

Main Results:

  • 88 patients (75%) were re-evaluated, with 43 having migraine at follow-up (average age 41.2).
  • Over 25.5 years, 33% experienced remission, 41% maintained their diagnosis, and 26% evolved into different headache types.
  • 66% reported improvement, with male sex being the sole predictor of a favorable outcome.

Conclusions:

  • The majority of pediatric headache patients (66%) continue to experience headaches into adulthood, often with reported improvement.
  • Boys showed a higher tendency towards remission compared to girls.
  • Age, genetics, and hormonal factors likely influence the phenotypic expression of migraine.
Abstract