Temperature Trajectory Sub-phenotypes and the Immuno-Inflammatory Response in Pediatric Sepsis

Heterogeneity has hampered sepsis trials, and sub-phenotyping may assist with enrichment strategies. However, biomarker-based strategies are difficult to operationalize. Four sub-phenotypes defined by distinct temperature trajectories in the first 72 h have been reported in adult sepsis. Given the distinct epidemiology of pediatric sepsis, the existence and relevance of temperature trajectory-defined sub-phenotypes in children is unknown. We aimed to classify septic children into de novo sub-phenotypes derived from temperature trajectories in the first 72 h, and compare cytokine, immune function, and immunometabolic markers across subgroups.

This was a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort of 191 critically ill septic children recruited from a single academic pediatric intensive care unit. We performed group-based trajectory modeling using temperatures over the first 72 h of sepsis to identify latent profiles. We then used mixed effects regression to determine if temperature trajectory-defined sub-phenotypes were associated with cytokine levels, immune function, and mitochondrial respiration.

We identified four temperature trajectory-defined sub-phenotypes: hypothermic, normothermic, hyperthermic fast-resolvers, and hyperthermic slow-resolvers. Hypothermic patients were less often previously healthy and exhibited lower levels of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines and chemokines. Hospital mortality did not differ between hypothermic children (17%) and other sub-phenotypes (3-11%; P = 0.26).

Critically ill septic children can be categorized into temperature trajectory-defined sub-phenotypes that parallel adult sepsis. Hypothermic children exhibit a blunted cytokine and chemokine profile. Group-based trajectory modeling has utility for identifying subtypes of clinical syndromes by incorporating readily available longitudinal data, rather than relying on inputs from a single timepoint.