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Dynamics of Caputo Fractional Order SEIRV Epidemic Model with Optimal Control and Stability Analysis
Animesh Mahata1, Subrata Paul2, Supriya Mukherjee3
1Mahadevnagar High School, Maheshtala, Kolkata, West Bengal 700141 India.
Abstract:
In mid-March 2020, the World Health Organization declared COVID-19, a worldwide public health emergency. This paper presents a study of an SEIRV epidemic model with optimal control in the context of the Caputo fractional derivative of order . The stability analysis of the model is performed. We also present an optimum control scheme for an SEIRV model. The real time data for India COVID-19 cases have been used to determine the parameters of the fractional order SEIRV model. The Adam-Bashforth-Moulton predictor-corrector method is implemented to solve the SEIRV model numerically. For analyzing COVID-19 transmission dynamics, the fractional order of the SEIRV model is found to be better than the integral order. Graphical demonstration and numerical simulations are presented using MATLAB (2018a) software.
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