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Evaluating mail-based security for electoral processes using attack trees.

Natalie M Scala¹, Paul L Goethals², Josh Dehlinger³

¹College of Business and Economics, Towson University, Towson, Maryland, USA.

Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis

|January 24, 2022

Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

This study analyzes threats to mail-in voting systems. It identifies vulnerabilities and assesses risks to improve election security for officials and policymakers.

Keywords:

attack tree electoral systems mail-based voting threats utility analysis

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Area of Science:

Political Science
Computer Science
Public Administration

Background:

Increased attention on election security following 2016 Russian interference.
US Department of Homeland Security designated election systems as critical infrastructure in 2017.
COVID-19 pandemic and 2020 election highlighted mail-in voting vulnerabilities.

Purpose of the Study:

To provide insights into potential threats targeting mail-based voting processes.
To update threat assessments for mail-in voting systems.
To inform election officials and policymakers on enhancing mail-in voting security.

Main Methods:

Utilized an attack tree methodology for initial threat evaluation.
Postulated new threats and developed an updated attack tree.
Employed an established assessment framework to determine the likelihood of attack scenarios.

Main Results:

Identified and categorized various threats to mail-based voting.
Assessed the relative likelihood of different mail-in voting attack scenarios.
Provided a prioritized understanding of vulnerabilities in mail-in voting systems.

Conclusions:

Mail-based voting systems face evolving threats requiring continuous security updates.
Understanding threat likelihood is crucial for effective resource allocation in election security.
The research offers actionable insights for strengthening mail-in voting processes against potential attacks.