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Related Experiment Video
Updated: Oct 5, 2025

Author Spotlight: Addressing Technical and Subjective Challenges in Measuring Classroom Attention
Published on: December 15, 2023
Deep learning-based school attendance prediction for autistic students.
Mohammed Jarbou1, Daehan Won2, Jennifer Gillis-Mattson3
1Department of Systems Science and Industrial Engineering, Binghamton University-State University of New York, Binghamton, NY, 13902, USA.
Predicting school absenteeism (SA) for autistic students is crucial. Deep learning models, specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), accurately forecast short- and long-term SA using past attendance data.
Area of Science:
- Neuroscience
- Education Technology
- Machine Learning
Background:
- Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental condition impacting social communication and behavior.
- Autistic students often face challenges in daily functioning, making consistent school attendance vital for accessing educational and therapeutic support.
- School absenteeism (SA) in autistic students is linked to adverse outcomes, including school dropout, necessitating early prediction and intervention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate a deep learning framework for predicting short- and long-term school absenteeism in autistic students.
- To identify effective machine learning algorithms for forecasting SA, considering the heterogeneity within the autistic population.
- To demonstrate that past attendance patterns are more predictive of future SA than individual or demographic characteristics.
Main Methods:
- A deep learning framework was developed utilizing Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) algorithms.
- The models were trained and validated using historical school attendance data of autistic students.
- Performance was evaluated by comparing the predictive accuracy and recall of LSTM and MLP against other machine learning approaches.
Main Results:
- Individual and demographic characteristics were found to be non-predictive of SA in autistic students.
- The LSTM algorithm significantly improved short-term SA prediction accuracy by 20% and recall by 13%.
- The MLP algorithm enhanced long-term SA prediction accuracy and recall by 5%.
Conclusions:
- Deep learning models, particularly LSTM and MLP, offer a promising approach for accurately predicting school absenteeism in autistic students.
- Utilizing past attendance data is a more effective strategy for SA prediction than relying on student demographics.
- Early and accurate prediction of SA can facilitate timely interventions, potentially mitigating negative academic consequences for autistic students.
