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The hidden mortality of pediatric firearm violence

Christina M Theodorou1, Carl A Beyer1, Melissa A Vanover1

  • 1Department of Surgery, UC Davis Medical Center, Sacramento, CA, USA.

Insights

Pediatric firearm injuries are significantly more lethal than motor vehicle collisions (MVCs), with a higher mortality rate and increased resource utilization. The case fatality rate for child gunshot wounds is rising, necessitating focused prevention efforts.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Trauma Surgery
  • Injury Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Firearm injuries and motor vehicle collisions (MVCs) are leading causes of mortality in children.
  • Previous research suggests disparities in outcomes, but direct comparison of pediatric firearm injuries and MVCs is needed.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the mortality and resource utilization of pediatric firearm injuries versus MVCs.
  • To analyze trends in case fatality rates (CFRs) for both injury types in children.

Main Methods:

  • A retrospective analysis of pediatric trauma patients (<18 years) treated for gunshot wounds (GSW) or MVCs at a Level 1 pediatric trauma center (2009-2019).
  • Comparison of mortality, need for immediate surgery, and resource utilization.
  • Statewide analysis of CFRs and GSW intent using the California Department of Public Health's Overall Injury Surveillance tool (2006-2015).
  • Prognosis study, Level II evidence.

Main Results:

  • GSWs had a significantly higher mortality rate (7.5% vs. 0.8% for MVCs, p<0.0001) and required immediate surgery more often (34.4% vs. 11.2%, p<0.0001).
  • On multivariable analysis, pediatric GSW patients were 7.8 times more likely to die than MVC patients (p<0.0001).
  • Statewide, pediatric GSW CFR was 14.7% compared to 0.3% for MVCs (p<0.0001). The GSW CFR increased from 13.4% to 16.5% (p=0.05), while the MVC CFR decreased from 0.5% to 0.2% (p<0.0001) between 2006 and 2015.

Conclusions:

  • Pediatric firearm violence is substantially more lethal and resource-intensive than MVCs.
  • The rising case fatality rate for pediatric firearm injuries highlights an urgent public health concern.
  • Increased resources and targeted interventions are crucial for preventing pediatric firearm injuries.
Abstract

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