Association of Operability With Post-Treatment Mortality in Early-Stage Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Operability is both a crucial determinant in treatment selection and a potential confounder in analyses comparing surgery with non-surgical approaches such as stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT). We aimed to assess the association between operability status and intervention with post-treatment mortality in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

We defined four groups of patients with cT1-T2N0M0 NSCLC diagnosed 2010 to 2014 from the National Cancer Database: SBRT patients deemed operable vs. inoperable and surgery patients receiving open vs. minimally-invasive approaches. Mortality rates at 30, 60, and 90 days post-treatment were calculated and compared.

We abstracted 80,108 patients, 0.8% undergoing SBRT and operable, 13.2% undergoing SBRT and inoperable, 52.4% undergoing open surgery, and 33.7% undergoing minimally-invasive surgery. Mortality rates were highest among open surgery patients and lowest among operable SBRT patients (2.0% vs. 0.2% at 30 days and 3.7% vs. 0.7% at 90 days), with intermediate results in the other two groups. These findings persisted on multivariate Cox regression: compared to patients undergoing minimally-invasive surgery, mortality risk was highest among open surgery patients (30 days HR 1.32, 95%CI 1.16-1.51; 90 days HR 1.36, 95%CI 1.24-1.50; both P < .001) and lowest among operable SBRT patients (30 days HR 0.09, 95%CI 0.01-0.64; 90 days HR 0.15, 95%CI 0.05-0.46; both P ≤ .016). These associations were maintained in a propensity score-matched subset.

Operable patients undergoing SBRT experience minimal post-treatment mortality compared to their inoperable counterparts. These findings illustrate the potential for confounding by operability to bias results in cohort studies that compare surgical vs. non-surgical approaches in early-stage NSCLC.