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Area of Science:

  • Computational biology
  • Medical informatics
  • Machine learning

Background:

  • Probabilistic topic models are used for subtype discovery but often lose disease severity information.
  • Integrating discriminative loss terms with generative models is challenging due to balancing competing objectives.
  • Existing methods struggle to effectively incorporate auxiliary information for improved disease severity prediction.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a novel framework for probabilistic topic models that incorporates external covariates into the approximate posterior.
  • To improve the prediction of disease severity by leveraging discriminative power from covariates.
  • To identify biologically relevant subtypes of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) using lung CT imaging data.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a framework to incorporate external covariates into the generative model's approximate posterior.
  • Utilized a variant of topic model as the generative model for subtype identification.
  • Applied the method to a large-scale lung CT study of COPD, using features from a neural network as covariates.

Main Results:

  • The proposed method effectively integrates external covariates, improving the predictive performance for disease severity.
  • Identified COPD subtypes demonstrated competitive or superior performance compared to baseline methods.
  • Discovered subtypes showed correlations with genetic measurements, suggesting potential etiological relevance.

Conclusions:

  • The framework offers an effective alternative for balancing generative and discriminative objectives in topic modeling.
  • Incorporating discriminative covariates into the approximate posterior enhances the utility of topic models for disease subtyping and severity prediction.
  • The identified COPD subtypes may represent distinct etiological pathways, warranting further investigation.