Comprehensive risk evaluation for metachronous carcinogenesis after endoscopic submucosal dissection of superficial...

Pharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (PSCC) is associated with a high likelihood of metachronous carcinogenesis, which is known to have a poor prognosis. This study aimed to identify comprehensive risk evaluation indicators for metachronous carcinogenesis after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) of superficial PSCC.

The risk of metachronous carcinogenesis was evaluated in 144 patients with superficial PSCC (with no history of PSCC or esophageal squamous cell carcinoma) who underwent initial ESD from 2008 to 2020. Multiple lugol-voiding lesions (LVLs) in the background pharyngeal and esophageal epithelium were evaluated as endoscopic indicators. The hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte, and platelet (HALP) score was analyzed as a serum marker.

The median follow-up period was 4.3 years. The coincidence rate for pharyngeal and esophageal LVL grade was 55%. The cumulative 3-year metachronous PSCC rate was 18.9%. The cumulative 3-year second metachronous PSCC rate was 43.9%. Forward stepwise multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis identified pharyngeal LVL grade and a lower HALP score as significant independent predictors. Pharyngeal LVL grade was superior to esophageal LVL grade as a predictor of metachronous PSCC. A lower HALP score was significantly associated with younger age in forward stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis.

Patients with a history of superficial PSCC remain at risk for metachronous carcinogenesis over time, and long-term follow-up is imperative. Comprehensive evaluation of endoscopic features with a novel serum marker, namely, the HALP score, can help predict metachronous carcinogenesis.