Application of land use regression to map environmental noise in Shanghai, China

Urban environment noise has been linked with wide adverse effects on health; however, noise epidemiological researches are hindered by the lack of large-scale population-based exposure assessment.

We aimed to measure noise levels over multiple seasons and to establish an LUR model to assess the spatial variability of intra-urban noise and identify its potential sources in Shanghai, China.

Forty-minute (L_{Aeq, 40 min}) measurements of environmental noise were collected at 144 fixed sites, and each was visited three times (morning, afternoon, and evening) in winter, spring, and summer in 2019. Noise measurements were then integrated with land-use types, road networks, socioeconomic variables, and geographic information systems to construct LUR models. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to test the model performance.

A total of 1296 measurements and 29 predicting variables were used to estimate the spatial variation in environmental noise. The annual mean (±standard deviation) of L_{Aeq, 40min}, was 62 ± 8 dB (A). Significant variations were observed among monitoring sites but not between seasons or time of day. The LUR model explained 79% of the spatial variability of the noise, and the R² of the ten-fold cross-validation was 0.75. The most contributory predictors of noise level were road-related variables all within the 50-m buffers, followed by urban area within a 50-m buffer, total area of buildings within a 1000-m buffer, and number of restaurant clusters within a 50-m buffer. Farmland area within a 100-m buffer was the only negative variable in the model. A 50-m resolution noise prediction map was produced and suggested high noise level in urban areas and near traffic arteries.

LUR can be a robust method for reflecting noise variability in megacities such as Shanghai and may provide an efficient solution for noise exposure assessment in areas where noise maps are not available.