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Metastasis and Mortality in Men With Low- and Intermediate-Risk Prostate Cancer on Active Surveillance
P Travis Courtney1,2, Rishi Deka1,2, Nikhil V Kotha1,2
11Veterans Health Administration San Diego Health Care System, and.
Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network : JNCCN
|February 7, 2022
Summary
Active surveillance (AS) is safe for low-risk prostate cancer. However, intermediate-risk patients on AS face higher metastasis and prostate cancer-specific mortality risks, requiring careful selection for this approach.
Area of Science:
- Urology
- Oncology
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Active surveillance (AS) is established as a safe management strategy for low-risk, localized prostate cancer.
- The safety and efficacy of AS for intermediate-risk prostate cancer patients remain incompletely understood.
- This study investigates outcomes for intermediate-risk prostate cancer managed with AS.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the safety of active surveillance (AS) in men with intermediate-risk prostate cancer.
- To compare metastasis and mortality rates between low-risk and intermediate-risk prostate cancer patients managed with AS.
- To inform clinical decision-making regarding AS for intermediate-risk prostate cancer.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 9,733 men with prostate cancer managed with AS between 2001-2015 in the Veterans Health Administration.
- Patients were stratified into low-risk, favorable intermediate-risk, and unfavorable intermediate-risk groups based on NCCN criteria.
- Outcomes analyzed included progression to definitive treatment, metastasis, prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM), and all-cause mortality using cumulative incidence and competing-risks regression.
Main Results:
- Intermediate-risk patients (10.3% of cohort) had significantly higher 10-year cumulative incidences of metastasis and PCSM compared to low-risk patients.
- Favorable intermediate-risk disease showed a 9.6% metastasis and 3.7% PCSM rate, while unfavorable intermediate-risk disease showed 19.2% metastasis and 11.8% PCSM.
- Multivariable analysis confirmed significantly increased risks of metastasis and PCSM for both favorable and unfavorable intermediate-risk groups compared to low-risk patients (all P<.001).
Conclusions:
- Active surveillance for intermediate-risk prostate cancer is associated with increased risks of metastasis and prostate cancer-specific mortality compared to low-risk disease.
- AS may be a viable option for select favorable intermediate-risk prostate cancer patients.
- Further prospective studies are needed to identify optimal candidates and refine AS protocols for intermediate-risk prostate cancer.
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