Predictors and prognostic impact of left ventricular ejection fraction trajectories in patients with ST-segment

Zhijun Lei1, Bingyu Li1, Bo Li1

  • 1Department of Cardiology, School of Medicine, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University, 301 Middle Yanchang Road, Shanghai, 200072, China.

Insights

After ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) can follow two distinct trajectories. Persistently reduced LVEF indicates a poor prognosis, while recovery suggests a neutral outcome.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Clinical Medicine
  • Biomedical Engineering

Background:

  • Limited evidence exists on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) changes post-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).
  • Understanding LVEF trajectories is crucial for predicting patient outcomes after STEMI.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify distinct LVEF trajectories following STEMI.
  • To explore predictors of these LVEF trajectories.
  • To assess the association between LVEF trajectories and prognosis, including cardiovascular mortality and heart failure rehospitalization.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective observational study of STEMI patients.
  • Latent class trajectory modeling used to identify LVEF trajectories in patients with baseline LVEF < 50%.
  • Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models analyzed predictors and prognostic impact of LVEF trajectories.

Main Results:

  • Two LVEF trajectories identified in patients with reduced baseline LVEF: recovered and persistently reduced.
  • Higher baseline LVEF, lower peak troponin T, non-anterior MI, and lower heart rates predicted LVEF recovery.
  • Persistently reduced LVEF significantly increased risks of cardiovascular mortality (HR 7.49) and heart failure rehospitalization (HR 3.54).
  • Recovered LVEF showed no significant increase in adverse outcomes.

Conclusions:

  • STEMI patients exhibit distinct LVEF recovery patterns.
  • Persistently reduced LVEF post-STEMI is a strong predictor of poor cardiovascular outcomes.
  • Baseline characteristics can predict the likelihood of LVEF recovery, aiding in risk stratification.
Abstract