Uniqueness and stability of periodic solutions for an interactive wild and Wolbachia-infected male mosquito model

Rong Yan1, Qiwen Sun1

  • 1College of Mathematics and Information Sciences, Guangzhou Center for Applied Mathematics, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.

Insights

We developed a mosquito population suppression model using Wolbachia-infected males with incomplete cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI). Our findings reveal critical thresholds for CI intensity and male release strategies to effectively control mosquito populations.

Area of Science:

  • Mathematical Biology
  • Vector Control
  • Population Dynamics

Background:

  • Mosquito-borne diseases pose significant public health challenges.
  • Population suppression strategies are crucial for disease prevention.
  • Wolbachia-based methods offer a novel approach to vector control.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate a mathematical model for mosquito population suppression.
  • To analyze the impact of releasing Wolbachia-infected males with incomplete cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI).
  • To determine critical thresholds for effective population control.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a two-equation mathematical model incorporating density-dependent birth rates.
  • Analyzed model stability and periodicity under varying parameters.
  • Derived thresholds for CI intensity, release amounts, and waiting periods.
  • Utilized theoretical analysis and numerical simulations.

Main Results:

  • Identified four key thresholds: CI intensity, two release amounts, and waiting period.
  • Established conditions for the stability of the origin (extinction) and the existence of a unique T-periodic solution (population persistence).
  • Demonstrated that specific threshold conditions guarantee either global asymptotic stability of the origin or a globally asymptotically stable T-periodic solution.

Conclusions:

  • The study provides a theoretical framework for optimizing Wolbachia-based mosquito control strategies.
  • Mathematical insights into CI intensity and release dynamics are crucial for effective population suppression.
  • The derived thresholds can guide practical implementation of Wolbachia interventions.