Physiological health indexes predict deterioration and mortality in patients with COVID-19: a comparative study

Irina Strazhesko1, Olga Tkacheva1, Daria Kashtanova1

  • 1Russian Clinical Research Center for Gerontology, Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of the Russian Federation, Moscow 129226, Russian Federation.

Aging
|February 25, 2022
PubMed

Insights

Biological age and physiological health status, not just chronological age, predict severe COVID-19 outcomes. Physiological dysregulation (PD) is a key indicator of deterioration and mortality risk in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

Area of Science:

  • Gerontology and Infectious Diseases
  • Biomarkers and Health Status Assessment

Background:

  • Advanced chronological age is a primary risk factor for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
  • Existing research indicates a disproportionate impact of severe or fatal COVID-19 outcomes on older adult populations.
  • The role of physiological health and biological age in COVID-19 severity requires further investigation beyond chronological age.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate whether physiological health status and biological age indices predict COVID-19 severity and mortality.
  • To evaluate the predictive power of four distinct physiological summary indices for COVID-19 outcomes.
  • To determine the association between physiological dysregulation and patient deterioration or death.

Main Methods:

  • Recruitment of 155 hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19, aged 26-94 years.
  • Calculation of four physiological summary indices: Klemera and Doubal's biological age, PhenoAge, physiological dysregulation (PD), and integrated albuemia.
  • Statistical analysis to assess the predictive value of these indices for mortality, adjusting for chronological age and sex.

Main Results:

  • All four physiological indices significantly predicted the risk of death (p < 0.01) after adjusting for chronological age and sex.
  • Men exhibited a 2.4-4.4 times higher likelihood of death compared to women across all models.
  • Global physiological dysregulation (PD) strongly predicted deterioration (41.7% increased odds per 0.5-unit increase) and death (68.3% increased odds per 0.5-unit increase).

Conclusions:

  • Physiological health status and biological age are critical determinants of severe COVID-19 outcomes, independent of chronological age.
  • Physiological dysregulation emerges as a significant predictor of both clinical deterioration and mortality in COVID-19 patients.
  • These findings suggest that physiological indices can serve as valuable prognostic tools for inpatient management of severe COVID-19.

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