CERT2 ceramide- and phospholipid-based risk score and major adverse cardiovascular events: A systematic review and...

Accumulating evidence over the last decade suggests the promising role of ceramides as potential mediators of coronary artery disease (CAD) or prognostic biomarkers of its clinical course. This meta-analysis (CRD42021241058) aimed to assess the prognostic value of a ceramide- and phosphatidylcholine-based risk score, Coronary Event Risk Test 2 (CERT2) score, for the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE: cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction or stroke) in 26,896 individuals with established CAD. Patients with CERT2=0-3 were used as a reference group. Pooled risk ratio (RR) of MACE among patients with CERT2=4-6 was equal to 1.35 (95% confidence intervals, CI: 1.11-1.64). Patients with CERT2=7-8 had an 81% increased risk of MACE (RR=1.81, CI: 1.40-2.34), while those with CERT2=9-12 had a 165% increased risk of MACE (RR=2.65, CI: 1.85-3.80). Subgroup analysis in patients with chronic coronary syndrome yielded an adjusted hazard ratio for MACE equal to 1.20 (CI: 1.09-1.32) per one standard deviation increase of CERT2 score. A summary c-statistic of the score combined with classical risk assessment model was found equal to 0.68 (95% CI: 0.58 to 0.77; approximate 95% prediction interval 0.38 to 0.88). Therefore, CERT2 score seems to emerge as a robust predictor of MACE. However, additional research is warranted to establish the cost-effectiveness of CERT2 score calculation for the determination of residual risk in patients with CAD.