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Multimodality Diagnosis of Mesenteric Ischemia
Published on: July 21, 2023
Predictors of Mortality in Acute Mesenteric Ischemia: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Ramish Sumbal1, Mirza Mehmood Ali Baig1, Anusha Sumbal1
1Dow medical college, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan.
Introduction:
To highlight predictors of mortality in acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) by conducting a meta-analysis of all relevant published studies.
Methods:
PubMed, Cochrane, and Google Scholar were searched from their inception till October 31, 2021. Studies evaluating predictors of mortality were selected. Only those factors were selected for meta-analysis that was reported by at least four studies. Meta-analysis was performed on selected factors using the random-effects model by using Revman 5.3 software.
Results:
Fifty-one studies were included evaluating 10,425 patients of AMI. Studies selected had a low risk of bias (Median = 7). Thirty-three factors were evaluated in our review. Age (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.08-1.27), chronic renal disease (OR 2.47, 95% CI 1.37-4.45), patient dependency (OR 3.01, 95% CI 1.95-4.65), arrhythmias (OR 1.93, 95% CI 1.38-2.69), cardiac failure (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.57-3.31), hypotension (OR 3.44, 95% CI 1.81-6.54), large bowel involvement (OR 2.98, 95% CI 1.44-6.17), small and large bowel involvement (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.23-2.81), creatinine (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.27-2.20), lactate (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.26-1.62), delay to surgery (OR 2.51, 95% CI 1.58-3.99) and inotropes (OR 3.79, 95% CI 1.47-9.77) were significantly associated with mortality. On the contrary bowel wall thickening (OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.38-0.88), anticoagulation (OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.10-0.74), and revascularization (OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.13-0.69) were significantly associated with survival.
Conclusions:
In conclusion, Age, chronic renal disease, diabetes, patient dependency, arrhythmias, cardiac failure, hypotension, large bowel involvement, small & large bowel involvement, creatinine, lactate, delay to surgery, and inotropes were significantly associated with mortality while anticoagulants, revascularization and bowel thickening on CT was associated with decreased mortality.
Insights
This meta-analysis identifies key predictors of mortality in acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI). Factors like older age, comorbidities, and delayed surgery increase mortality risk, while anticoagulation and revascularization improve survival outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Gastroenterology
- Vascular Surgery
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) is a critical condition with high mortality.
- Identifying predictors of mortality is crucial for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To conduct a comprehensive meta-analysis of published studies to identify predictors of mortality in patients with AMI.
- To synthesize evidence on factors associated with both increased mortality and improved survival in AMI.
Main Methods:
- A systematic search of PubMed, Cochrane, and Google Scholar databases was performed up to October 31, 2021.
- Studies evaluating mortality predictors in AMI were selected, with factors reported in at least four studies included in the meta-analysis.
- A random-effects model was utilized for the meta-analysis using Revman 5.3 software.
Main Results:
- The analysis included 51 studies with 10,425 AMI patients, showing a low risk of bias.
- Significant mortality predictors included older age, chronic renal disease, patient dependency, arrhythmias, cardiac failure, hypotension, large bowel involvement, creatinine levels, lactate levels, delayed surgery, and inotrope use.
- Factors associated with improved survival were bowel wall thickening, anticoagulation, and revascularization.
Conclusions:
- Several clinical and laboratory factors significantly predict mortality in acute mesenteric ischemia.
- Early recognition and intervention, alongside considering protective factors like anticoagulation and revascularization, are vital for improving survival rates in AMI patients.
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