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Damage Trajectories in Systemic Sclerosis Using Group-Based Trajectory Modeling.

Ariane Barbacki1, Murray Baron1, Mianbo Wang1

  • 1Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

Arthritis Care & Research
|February 28, 2022
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients show distinct damage accrual trajectories. Factors like older age, male sex, and diffuse disease predict higher damage, aiding early intervention for SSc progression.

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Area of Science:

  • Rheumatology and Autoimmune Diseases
  • Clinical Epidemiology
  • Disease Progression Modeling

Background:

  • Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a severe autoimmune condition causing progressive organ damage.
  • The Scleroderma Clinical Trials Consortium Damage Index (SCTC-DI) quantifies SSc-related organ damage.
  • Understanding damage accrual patterns is crucial for effective SSc management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify distinct trajectories of damage accrual in incident SSc patients.
  • To determine baseline variables associated with different damage trajectory groups.
  • To inform early identification of patients requiring aggressive SSc treatment.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized group-based trajectory modeling on prospective SSc cohort data.
  • Analyzed SCTC-DI scores over the first 5 annual visits.
  • Examined univariate and multivariable associations between baseline variables and trajectory membership.

Main Results:

  • Identified three SCTC-DI trajectories: low (54.6%), medium (36.2%), and high (10.3%) damage accrual.
  • Higher baseline SCTC-DI scores correlated with faster damage.
  • Older age, male sex, diffuse SSc, tendon friction rubs, and elevated CRP increased odds of high damage; White ethnicity and anticentromere antibodies decreased these odds.

Conclusions:

  • Three distinct damage accrual trajectories were identified in incident SSc patients.
  • Specific baseline characteristics are associated with worse damage trajectories.
  • These findings can help identify SSc patients needing prompt, aggressive treatment.