Robust Mendelian randomization in the presence of residual population stratification, batch effects and horizontal

Carlos Cinelli1, Nathan LaPierre2, Brian L Hill2

  • 1Department of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA. cinelli@uw.edu.

Nature Communications
|March 2, 2022
PubMed

Insights

Mendelian Randomization (MR) studies face biases from population stratification and pleiotropy. New sensitivity analysis tools help researchers assess the robustness of MR findings against these validity threats.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Statistical Genetics

Background:

  • Mendelian Randomization (MR) studies are susceptible to biases like population stratification, batch effects, and horizontal pleiotropy.
  • Existing methods may not fully eliminate residual biases, potentially leading to false positives in large genetic databases.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce a suite of sensitivity analysis tools for quantifying the robustness of MR findings.
  • To enable researchers to assess the impact of validity threats on MR results.

Main Methods:

  • Proposing routine reporting of sensitivity statistics to reveal minimal violation strength needed to invalidate MR results.
  • Providing intuitive displays of MR estimate robustness to varying degrees of violation.
  • Developing formal bounds for worst-case bias from violations stronger than observed.

Main Results:

  • The developed tools allow quantification of robustness against validity threats in MR studies.
  • Demonstration using body mass index effects on diastolic blood pressure and Townsend deprivation index illustrates tool utility.
  • Researchers can better distinguish robust from fragile MR findings.

Conclusions:

  • The sensitivity analysis tools enhance the reliability of Mendelian Randomization studies.
  • These tools are crucial for identifying and mitigating potential biases in genetic epidemiology research.
  • Routine use of these tools will improve the validity of conclusions drawn from MR analyses.

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