Prognostic significance of procalcitonin in small cell lung cancer

Procalcitonin (PCT) is a serological marker whose utility has been established in infectious disease areas. Although serum calcitonin is a prognostic predictor in patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma, the clinical usefulness of PCT remains unclear in lung cancer patients.

As a discovery cohort, we retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and small cell lung cancer (SCLC) who received first-line chemotherapy at our institution, and PCT blood levels were measured. As the validation cohort, PCT blood levels were prospectively evaluated in SCLC patients before first-line chemotherapy. The correlation between a PCT increase and prognosis was examined in the discovery and validation cohorts.

Twenty-three SCLC patients and 26 NSCLC patients were enrolled as the discovery cohort, and 30 SCLC patients were enrolled as the validation cohort. The PCT level in SCLC patients was significantly higher than that in NSCLC patients. The PCT level was not associated with WBC count and weakly associated with the CRP level. In both the discovery and validation cohorts, the median survival time was significantly shorter in SCLC patients with PCT-high than in SCLC patients with PCT-normal (discovery; 11.7 vs. 89.7 months, P<0.005, validation; 9.6 vs. 22.6 months, P<0.005).

It may be difficult to differentiate bacterial infections in SCLC patients by PCT, as PCT is elevated even in SCLC patients without infectious diseases. This is the first study to prospectively verify that pretreatment PCT levels have a significant negative correlation with prognosis in SCLC patients.