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Published on: November 7, 2020
A construction project scheduling methodology considering COVID-19 pandemic measures
Selman Aslan1, Osman Hürol Türkakın2
1Department of Transportation Services, Muş Alparslan University, Turkey.
This study models COVID-19 infection rates to predict construction project delays and costs. It offers methods to optimize schedules and worker numbers, aiding pandemic-era construction planning.
Area of Science:
- Construction Management
- Operations Research
- Epidemiological Modeling
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the construction industry, causing project delays and necessitating strict safety measures.
- Construction projects, involving numerous workers, faced disruptions due to pandemic-related restrictions and safety protocols.
- Assessing and mitigating pandemic risks in construction scheduling and cost management became crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the impact of COVID-19 on construction project duration, cost, and pandemic risk.
- To develop a model for predicting pandemic-related delays and cost overruns in construction projects.
- To determine optimal project schedules and resource allocation strategies under pandemic conditions.
Main Methods:
- Utilized multi-objective genetic algorithms and resource-constrained project scheduling techniques.
- Incorporated COVID-19 infection rate modeling to simulate pandemic risks.
- Employed the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) for multi-objective decision-making to find optimal solutions based on duration, cost, and risk.
Main Results:
- Feasible construction schedules ranged from 61 to 199 days, with pandemic risks between 46% and 89%.
- Total project costs varied from 174,669.8 TL to 186,126.7 TL.
- The optimal solution identified was Alternative 5, featuring a 0.46% pandemic risk, a 199-day duration with 10 workers, and a total cost of 185,722 TL.
Conclusions:
- The study demonstrates the effectiveness of integrating infection modeling with scheduling techniques to quantify pandemic-related delays and cost impacts.
- Project managers can use these methods to calculate duration and cost changes considering worker infection risks.
- The findings provide practical guidance for optimizing construction processes and maintaining social distancing during pandemics.
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