Mathematic modeling of fetal growth: development of individual growth curve standards

To provide a more precise means for monitoring individual fetal growth and to improve the detection of growth abnormalities, the Rossavik growth model [P = c(t)k + s(t)] has been used to establish individual growth curve standards. A longitudinal study of the growth of one-dimensional (biparietal diameter, head, and abdominal circumferences), two-dimensional (head and abdominal profile areas), and three-dimensional (head and abdominal volumes) parameters in 18 normal fetuses has revealed that the growth of all parameters can be well-described by the Rossavik model (R2: 97.2 to 99.5%). Strong statistical evidence was obtained indicating that the coefficient k is principally a geometric coefficient having a value determined primarily by the dimension of the parameter being studied. It was also found that the coefficients c and s can be estimated from the data obtained before 28 weeks' conceptual age. Individual growth curve models derived from data obtained before 28 weeks were capable of predicting growth beyond 28 weeks. These models provide growth curve standards for evaluating individual fetal growth beyond 28 weeks.