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Decoupling between Economic Development and Carbon Emissions and Its Driving Factors: Evidence from China
Xiaochun Zhao1, Mei Jiang1, Wei Zhang2
1School of Management, Anhui University, Hefei 230601, China.
Summary
China
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Economics
- Energy Policy
Background:
- Economic development and carbon emissions are critical global issues.
- Understanding their relationship is key for sustainable development strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantitatively analyze the decoupling state between China's economic development and carbon emissions from 2009-2019.
- To identify the driving factors influencing this relationship.
- To provide policy recommendations for emission reduction and sustainable energy development.
Main Methods:
- Panel data analysis of China's carbon emissions (2009-2019).
- Application of the Tapio decoupling model.
- Utilizing the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) decomposition model.
Main Results:
- Both economic development and carbon emissions show a consistent, staged increase.
- China's economy and carbon emissions are in a weak decoupling state, indicating a positive correlation.
- Significant regional disparities in decoupling indices exist, with unbalanced provincial development.
- Population size and economic intensity restrain decoupling; energy intensity and carbon intensity promote it.
Conclusions:
- China's economic growth is accompanied by rising carbon emissions, necessitating targeted policies.
- Addressing regional inequalities and specific driving factors is crucial for effective emission reduction.
- Investing in low-carbon technologies, new energy, and carbon trading markets can foster sustainable development.
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