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Published on: January 20, 2023
Hotspot identification on urban arterials at the meso level
1Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China.
Identifying traffic crash hotspots on urban arterials requires considering both individual road segments and intersections (micro-level) and combined units (meso-level). The empirical Bayesian and potential for safety improvement methods showed better consistency for hotspot identification.
Area of Science:
- Traffic Engineering and Safety
- Urban Planning
- Transportation Systems Analysis
Background:
- Urban arterials are critical infrastructure with high traffic volumes and frequent crashes.
- Traditional micro-level analysis of road segments and intersections as isolated units has limitations for urban arterials due to short signal spacing and interaction effects.
- Practical traffic safety management often targets larger, multi-segment hotspots rather than single points.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the suitability of meso-level units (combined intersections and adjacent road segments) for hotspot identification on urban arterials.
- To compare the consistency of different hotspot identification (HSID) methods at both micro- and meso-levels.
- To determine the most reliable HSID methods for urban arterial safety management.
Main Methods:
- Data from 21 urban arterials in Shanghai, China, were analyzed.
- Hotspots were identified at micro- (intersections, road segments) and meso-levels (combined units) using crash frequency, empirical Bayesian (EB), potential for safety improvement (PSI), and full Bayesian (FB) methods.
- Hotspot consistency was evaluated over a two-year period.
Main Results:
- The empirical Bayesian (EB) and potential for safety improvement (PSI) methods demonstrated superior performance and consistency across both micro- and meso-level analyses.
- Significant inconsistencies were observed between hotspots identified at the micro-level compared to the meso-level.
- No single method or unit level consistently identified all critical areas.
Conclusions:
- Meso-level analysis is valuable for understanding traffic safety on urban arterials, complementing traditional micro-level approaches.
- The empirical Bayesian (EB) and potential for safety improvement (PSI) methods are recommended for their reliability in HSID on urban arterials.
- A combined approach utilizing both micro- and meso-level hotspot identification is recommended for comprehensive safety management of urban arterials.
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