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Emergence of influenza B/Victoria in the Micronesian US-affiliated Pacific Islands, spring 2019
Stephanie O'Connor1, W Thane Hancock2, Estelle Ada3
1Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States of America.
Abstract:
Data collected through routine syndromic surveillance for influenza-like illness in the Micronesian United States-affiliated Pacific Islands highlighted out-of-season influenza outbreaks in the spring of 2019. This report describes the data collected through the World Health Organization's Pacific Syndromic Surveillance System for the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI), Guam, the Federated States of Micronesia (FSM) and the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI). Compared with historical data, more cases of influenza-like illness were observed in all four islands described here, with the highest number reported in Guam in week 9, CNMI and FSM in week 15, and RMI in week 19. The outbreaks predominantly affected those aged < 20 years, with evidence from CNMI and RMI suggesting higher attack rates among those who were unvaccinated. Cases confirmed by laboratory testing suggested that influenza B was predominant, with 83% (99/120) of subtyped specimens classified as influenza B/Victoria during January-May 2019. These outbreaks occurred after the usual influenza season and were consistent with transmission patterns in Eastern Asia rather than those in Oceania or the United States of America, the areas typically associated with the United States-affiliated Pacific Islands due to their geographical proximity to Oceania and political affiliation with the United States of America. A plausible epidemiological route of introduction may be the high levels of international tourism from Eastern Asian countries recorded during these periods of increased influenza B/Victoria circulation. This report demonstrates the value of year-round surveillance for communicable diseases and underscores the importance of seasonal influenza vaccination, particularly among younger age groups.
Insights
Out-of-season influenza outbreaks occurred in 2019 across Pacific Islands, predominantly affecting unvaccinated children under 20. Influenza B/Victoria, linked to East Asian travel, was the main strain, highlighting the need for year-round surveillance and vaccination.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Virology
Background:
- Routine syndromic surveillance identified unusual out-of-season influenza-like illness outbreaks in Spring 2019.
- These outbreaks occurred in the Micronesian United States-affiliated Pacific Islands (USAPI).
Purpose of the Study:
- To describe influenza-like illness surveillance data from the World Health Organization's Pacific Syndromic Surveillance System.
- To analyze the characteristics and potential origins of the 2019 out-of-season influenza outbreaks in the USAPI.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the Pacific Syndromic Surveillance System for the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI), Guam, Federated States of Micronesia (FSM), and Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI).
- Compared current outbreak data with historical influenza surveillance records.
- Analyzed laboratory-confirmed influenza subtyping data.
Main Results:
- Increased influenza-like illness cases were observed across all four locations compared to historical data.
- Outbreaks primarily impacted individuals under 20 years old, with higher attack rates in unvaccinated populations in CNMI and RMI.
- Influenza B, specifically B/Victoria, was the predominant strain (83%), with outbreaks exhibiting transmission patterns consistent with Eastern Asia.
Conclusions:
- The 2019 out-of-season influenza outbreaks in the USAPI were likely introduced via international tourism from Eastern Asia.
- Year-round communicable disease surveillance is crucial for detecting and responding to public health threats.
- Seasonal influenza vaccination, especially for younger age groups, is essential for prevention.
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