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Embedding entropy: a nonlinear measure of dynamical causality.
Jifan Shi1, Luonan Chen2,3,4,5, Kazuyuki Aihara1
1International Research Center for Neurointelligence, The University of Tokyo Institutes for Advanced Study, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan.
This study introduces dynamical causality (DC), a unified framework for detecting time-varying causal interactions. New methods, embedding entropy (EE) and conditional embedding entropy (cEE), offer robust nonlinear causal inference.
Area of Science:
- Dynamical Systems
- Information Theory
- Causal Inference
Background:
- Causality research has a long history with diverse concepts and algorithms.
- Existing methods often struggle with nonlinear systems and non-separability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To present a unified mathematical framework for dynamical causality (DC).
- To introduce novel causality criteria, embedding entropy (EE) and conditional embedding entropy (cEE).
- To address limitations of existing causal inference methods, including nonlinearity and scale bias.
Main Methods:
- Developed a unified mathematical framework for dynamical causality.
- Proposed embedding entropy (EE) as a measure of DC.
- Derived conditional embedding entropy (cEE) for direct causality detection.
- Utilized numerical simulations and real-world datasets for validation.
Main Results:
- The dynamical causality framework unifies Granger causality, transfer entropy, and embedding causality.
- EE and cEE effectively measure dynamical causality and conditional causality.
- EE and cEE demonstrate advantages in solving nonlinear causal inference and non-separability problems.
- These methods reduce scale bias in numerical calculations.
Conclusions:
- Dynamical causality provides a unified perspective on time-varying causal interactions.
- Embedding entropy (EE) and conditional embedding entropy (cEE) are effective and robust tools for causal inference.
- EE and cEE offer significant improvements for analyzing complex, nonlinear systems.
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